Friday, September 14, 2007

Not fair or reasonable, but the only one you'll get...


More on the Wesfarmers takeover of Coles; the "independent expert report" (see prior discussion here) is in; the offer is apparently not fair, nor reasonable. However, with no realistic prospect of a better offer, the recommendation is for Coles shareholders to accept. Grant Samuel says that the Coles Group is worth $16.21-$18.23 a share (at time of posting this, CGJ is trading at $14.57 (up 6c for the day)). As Matthew Stevens says:
Let's be blunt here: the $930 million gap between the price Wesfarmers will pay and the Grant Samuel valuation is effectively the price Coles shareholders have to surrender to replace the company's crippled management.

The fact is, the board has been forced to accept an offer that undervalues Coles by at least $930 million because it has absolutely no other alternative.

We'll have a look at how they arrived at that valuation when the document proper is released to the market - hopefully in time for class 11 this semester (when we're discussing takeovers).

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