Wednesday, July 29, 2009

Australian business podcasts / vodcasts


ABC radio's Radio National provides access to a number of business-related podcasts that might be useful if you wish to know more about the business environment in Australia. You can subscribe to the business podcast at the link.

You'll also find vodcasts from groups like Macquarie Bank.

Here's another one, bnet Australia with a marketing focus, but still providing some strategy-related materials. You can apparently subscribe to their podcasts on itunes.

Tuesday, July 28, 2009

Beijing restaurants (& Sydney restaurants)


I have a friend who is off to Beijing next week for a week. If anyone has any tips for good eating (not western food) there, it would be great if you could let me know. [I also want good eating tips for when I next visit Beijing].

Here are my tips for "best value lunches in Sydney" (not cheapest, but best value).
1. Marque Go for the Friday lunch. Review (about as good a review as you'll find) in the Sydney Morning Herald here.

2. Restaurant Balzac - closer to uni, and $5 more than Marque, but a good value Friday lunch.

UPDATE: In case $50 is a bit too much for a meal, here are some cheaper, but still very tasty restaurants in Sydney.

1. Spice I Am - go to the Surry Hills one, not the Darlinghurst one. Good cheap, spicy Thai food. No decor.

2. Kiroran Silk Road Uigher Restaurant - Dixon Street, Chinatown. Ridiculously cheap Xinjiang restaurant.

3. Mamak - Chinatown. Great cheap Malaysian. Best roti in town.

4. Maya Masala - good cheap vegetarian Indian restaurant on Cleveland Street, Surry Hills.

Note: I've been advised that the restaurant in the photo above is:
Shun Xin Zhai Beijing Noodle Restaurant 顺心宅老北京炸酱面
Address: No. 40, Shuiyuan Wuchang, Huajiadi, Chaoyang District, Beijing, China
朝阳区花家地小区水源五厂40号(方舟苑小区对面)
I've eaten there and it's great!

Fair value accounting


Well we're into the reporting season. One of the things I have previously suggested we look out for is the impact of "mark-to-market" accounting; especially for businesses that have a relatively large amount of investments in listed assets.

Last night Lateline Business ABC television interviewed the Managing Director of Australian Foundation Investment Company (AFIC), who announced a 75 percent fall in full year profit. The Australian Foundation Investment Company (AFIC) says the slump, to $103 million, reflects a big fall in realised gains and a more than $100 million impairment charge. Transcript and video here.

UPDATE: Not suprisingly, AFIC is calling for an overhaul in the accounting rules for 'impaired' assets. From The Australian:
"The (accounting) standard doesn't make a lot of sense for us," AFIC managing director Ross Barker said. "We have $1 billion in our revaluation reserve, but we can't offset any of that against the assets that we are holding below-cost."

AFIC, he said, was making its views known to international and domestic bodies that review and create accounting standards.

An exposure draft where mark-to-market gains and losses would all be taken through the profit and loss statement, or the balance sheet, would not help, according to the AFIC chief.

The first option would create volatile earnings streams, while the second would mean the dividends that AFIC earns from its investments would also have to be taken through the balance-sheet as an adjustment to reserves.


UPDATE: Here's Argo, another listed investment company, with a similar tale.
Managing director Rob Patterson said the $64.4m loss after tax was not the best measure of the company's performance over the financial year, as it did not reflect the income received from the investment portfolio and was inconsistent with the company's long-term investment philosophy.

A more accurate indicator, he said, was the operating profit of $163.4m, which was down 10.4 per cent from the previous financial year.

The return on the company's investment portfolio over the financial year was a loss of 16.8 per cent, outperforming the benchmark All Ordinaries Index, which declined by 22.1 per cent.

Monday, July 27, 2009

How accounting rules can affect business strategy

The change to 'mark to market' accounting for certain asset classes continues to impact on the business environment. Today, Adele Ferguson shows us the impact on some of the Macquarie Group listed vehicles.
The demise of Babcock & Brown, Allco Finance Group and the unravelling of the complex structures behind the Macquarie satellites are a stark reminder that investors have had a gutful of backing a model that was good for the head stock/external manager and bad for investors.
...
A statement from ASIC late last month on "fair values", no doubt speeded up the model's demise. ASIC said "careful consideration should be given to whether assets are traded in active markets. Most ASX-listed securities are actively traded, in which case, quoted prices should be used".

This would have given the Macquarie boys some major heartburn. In its latest results, released in May, profit was down 52 per cent, as chief executive Nicholas Moore made a $2.5 billion writedown on assets such as MIG, MAP, BrisConnections, real estate equity investments, loan impairment provisions and CDO exposures.

Keep an eye out in the upcoming reporting season for the impact of mark-to-market driving write-downs and hits to earnings.

The ongoing debt problem

According to Adele Ferguson in The Australian,
CORPORATE Australia is sitting on a $200 billion debt bomb that needs to be refinanced over the next three years, with analysts warning some infrastructure and small companies will collapse under the mountain of debt.

Wednesday, July 22, 2009

What to expect in the reporting season

ANALYSTS believe the August full-year profit reporting season will mark the low point of the earnings rout, suggesting now could be the right time to start looking at cyclical stocks again. As companies prepare for what is tipped to be the worst reporting season in 20 years, most equity strategist are forecasting that earnings will hold up in fiscal 2010. For the 1510 listed companies with a June 30 balance date -- 72 per cent of all the companies listed on the Australian Securities Exchange -- reporting season has already begun and will conclude on August 28. Almost all of the companies will post their full-year reports during August.


From The Australian

Competition in retailing

Following on from the earlier post about the entry of Costco, here's John Durie in his Martin Collins column in The Australian talking about the currents goings on.

John filed his column before Woolworths announced its full year sales figures. Up 7.5% to just under $50billion.

Toxic assets & increased transparency

Kenneth Scott and John Taylor argue in the WSJ that mandated disclosure is needed to help address the (still ongoing) issue of getting so-called "toxic assets" off bank balance sheets.

It's a(nother) good little summary of (part of) the problem, and how regulation is attempting to address the issue.

Tuesday, July 21, 2009

The Dot Com crash case study

Next week in class we're looking at the Dot Com crash. One of the things to think about: is there any parallel between that and the sub-prime 'meltdown' that led to the "Global Financial Crisis"? While you're thinking about that, here's a video of Emeritus Professor Sidney Winter, the Michael Crouch Visiting Professor in Innovation and Entrepreneurship at the Australian School of Business, in conversation with renowned US economist Dr Alice Rivlin.



If you can't see the video, click through here.

Costco arrives in Australia


And gives us a heads up on how they intend to make money. Via The Age.
''We operate with low margins and with our membership fees, we can sustain low margins,'' Australian Managing Director Patrick Noone said in an interview. ''Lower prices are important because people shop with us to get value.''

Folks I know in the States speak highly of Costco. Let's see how they go about it here.

Photo credit: Flickr user brewbooks. Used under Creative Commons licence

Monday, July 20, 2009

Credit ratings agencies (finally) facing the music?

Adele Ferguson in the Australian highlights some of the upcoming legal proceedings involving the credit ratings agencies, particularly with respect to the 'sub-prime' mortgage backed securities. Not too soon, either.

Here's the start:
THE spotlight is about to return to the culpability of credit ratings agencies in the global financial crisis following a decision by the biggest pension fund in the US to sue over "wildly inaccurate" ratings on the $US600 billion ($750bn) of synthetic derivatives sold to investors.

This, coupled with a court case to be heard in NSW Federal Court this week, could open the floodgates for third-party litigation against the credit rating agencies. It should also corral the regulators into finally doing something about the so-called independence and enormous power of agencies such as Moody's Investors Service and Standard & Poor's.

From the comments below - a link to a guest lecture by Brad Walters, General Manager, Financial Analytics, Corporate Scorecard held at the Australian School of Business, UNSW:

Monday, July 13, 2009

QAN financial and non-financial news

Another article showing the importance of knowing what you need to look for. Qantas' recent earnings announcement - Michael Pascoe goes behind the Income Statement.

Here's the start:
The passenger figures Qantas released to the stock exchange yesterday weren't flash - but the unannounced financial reality was much, much worse.
While Qantas told the ASX its May Qantas International and Jetstar International revenue seat factors were up 4 and 4.8 percentage points respectively, it didn't say that its yield on the combined international business had collapsed by 25 per cent.

Understanding how QAN makes its money is the starting point.

CEO compensation - here come the $$s

Looks like the GFC isn't hurting the bankers too hard, over in the U.S at least. The Wall Street Journal has the details. Well sort of, you only get the highlights of the article unless you are a subscriber.

Meanwhile, back in Australia, investors are told to keep an eye on executive pay. Quite rightly, too! Mirriam Steffens in the SMH with the details.